A Final Four showdown has the No. 1 seed UConn Huskies squaring off against the No. 4 seed Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday. The Huskies are not new to this, notching their seventh appearance in the Final Four. Meanwhile, Alabama is making school history. This is the Crimson Tide’s first-ever trip to the Final Four.
Tipoff from the State Farm Stadium in Arizona is set for 8:49 p.m. ET. The Huskies are 12-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. UConn odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 160.5. Before making any UConn vs. Alabama picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the Sweet 16 round of the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 152-109 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,800 for $100 players. It also has a strong 32-21 (+890) record on top-rated spread picks this season, and its bracket picks rank in the 92nd percentile among all CBS Sports Bracket Challenge entries so far in 2024. Anyone following has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Connecticut vs. Alabama and just locked in its Final Four predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines and trends for Alabama vs. Connecticut:
- UConn vs. Alabama spread: Huskies -12
- UConn vs. Alabama over/under: 160.5 points
- UConn vs. Alabama money line: Huskies -746, Crimson Tide +510
- UCONN: 17-5 ATS this season in road or neutral games
- BAMA: 22-14 ATS this season
- UConn vs. Alabama picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Alabama can cover
Senior forward Grant Nelson provides Alabama with a two-way presence in the frontcourt. Nelson has the range to knock down outside shots but owns the length to be disruptive in the paint. He logs 11.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.6 blocks per game. On March 28 against North Carolina, Nelson had 24 points, 12 boards and five blocks.
Sophomore guard Rylan Griffen gives the squad a smooth 3-and-D player. Griffen threatens the defense from the perimeter while being a pestering defender. The Texas native averages 11.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and shoots 39% from beyond the arc. In his last outing, Griffen had 13 points, eight assists and made three 3-pointers. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why UConn can cover
Senior guard Cam Spencer is a smooth three-level scorer. Spencer owns a sweet perimeter shot with good range and a quick release. The Maryland native averages 14.4 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per game. Additionally, he shoots 44% from beyond the arc. In his last matchup, Spencer stuffed the stat sheet with 11 points, 12 boards, and five assists.
Sophomore forward Alex Karaban has been another solid contributor for the Huskies. Karaban makes an impact on both ends of the floor. He uses his length to be disruptive defensively and will be a knockdown shooter from 3-point range. Karaban logs 13.5 points and 4.9 rebounds per game, while making 38% of his 3-point attempts. In the win over Illinois, Karaban tallied 10 points and three boards. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make UConn vs. Alabama picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 162 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Alabama vs. UConn, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 152-109 roll on its top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.
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