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Four teams remain in contention to win the 2023 NCAA Tournament, and the national semifinal matchups arrive on Saturday. NRG Stadium in Houston hosts the 2023 Final Four, with the first game of the day pitting the Florida Atlantic Owls against the San Diego State Aztecs. FAU is 35-3 under the leadership of Dusty May, including wins over Tennessee and Kansas State in the East Regional at Madison Square Garden. San Diego State is 31-6 under the leadership of Brian Dutcher, with 14 wins in the last 15 games including an upset over top-seeded Alabama in Louisville.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Aztecs as 3-point favorites in Houston for this 6:09 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 131.5 in the latest San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic odds. Before locking in any Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and best bets from SportsLine expert Bob Konarski.
A high-volume, highly-profitable bettor, Konarski’s relentless research has helped him be profitable in many sports. In the 2021-22 CBB season, he went 849-587-17 (58%), netting over 200 units for his followers. In the 2021-22 NBA season, he went 209-153-3 (+49.6 units). And in the 2022 MLB season, he finished 463-355-5 (plus 93.09 units). Konarski’s college basketball expertise has been on full display lately. He is on an amazing 25-12 run in college basketball picks, returning over $1,100 to $100 players. Anyone who followed him saw some huge returns.
Now, Konarski has set his sights on FAU vs. San Diego State and just locked in his picks and Final Four 2023 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Now, here are several college basketball betting lines and trends for San Diego State vs. FAU:
- San Diego State vs. FAU spread: SDSU -3
- San Diego State vs. FAU over/under: 131.5 points
- San Diego State vs. FAU money line: SDSU -160, FAU +135
- FAU: The Owls are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
- SDSU: The Aztecs are 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 games
- San Diego State vs. FAU picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Florida Atlantic can cover
Florida Atlantic’s offense is tremendous this season, headlined by sophomore guard Johnell Davis. He is averaging 17.3 points and 7.8 rebounds per game in the NCAA Tournament 2023, and Davis leads the team with 13.9 points and 1.5 steals per game for the full season. Davis has scored at least 12 points in 10 straight games, and he is the linchpin of a top-15 national offense that scores more than 1.12 points per possession.
FAU is an excellent shooting team, making 53.9% of 2-point attempts and 36.5% of 3-point attempts, and the Owls are in the top 15 nationally in 3-pointers per game (9.6). Florida Atlantic also takes care of the ball with a 16.9% turnover rate and an 8.4% live-ball turnover rate, and the Owls also average 14.6 assists per contest. Extra possessions also boost efficiency, and FAU is grabbing 31.5% of available rebounds on the offensive glass this season. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why San Diego State can cover
San Diego State’s defense is tremendous and puts considerable pressure on opponents. The Aztecs are in the top five of the country in adjusted defensive efficiency, and Brian Dutcher’s team allows only 94.1 points per 100 possessions. San Diego State is No. 2 in the nation with 27.8% 3-point shooting allowed, and opponents make only 49.4% of 2-point attempts against the Aztecs. San Diego State also excels in the possession battle with a 74.1% defensive rebound rate and a 19.2% turnover creation rate.
The Aztecs block 12.0% of shot attempts and generate a steal on more than 10% of defensive trips. San Diego State also allows only 10.6 assists per game and 15.8 free throw attempts per game, and the Aztecs are excelling in recent days. In the last two games against tremendous offenses from Alabama and Creighton, San Diego State is allowing 60 points per game on 35.7% shooting and 11.4% from 3-point range. The Aztecs also forced 11.5 turnovers per game while giving up only 9.5 assists per contest in the South Regional. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State picks
Konarski has analyzed this matchup and while he’s leaning Under on the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.
Who wins Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State? And which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Konarski’s Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State picks, all from the expert who is crushing college basketball, and find out.
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