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The 2023 NCAA Tournament Final Four matchups are set. A pair of mid-majors will clash in the first game on Saturday as No. 5 San Diego State faces No. 9 Florida Atlantic. The Owls hope to become the first 9-seed to win a national title, but the Aztecs are two-point favorites in the latest 2023 NCAA Tournament odds from Caesars Sportsbook.
Five-seed Miami will face 4-seed UConn in a matchup of two teams from major basketball conferences. The Huskies are the only team remaining to have won a championship and are 5.5-point favorites over the Hurricanes. Which teams should you include in your 2023 March Madness Final Four bets, both straight-up and against the spread? Before locking in any Final Four 2023 picks or college basketball parlays, be sure to check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters the Final Four of the 2023 NCAA Tournament 85-54 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also went 6-1 on top-rated picks during the first two weeks of March Madness. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has crunched the numbers for Saturday’s NCAA Tournament Final Four 2023, revealing against-the-spread and over-under picks for both games. A successful parlay of these picks would pay a colossal 12-1. You can only see its 2023 NCAA Tournament picks at SportsLine.
Top 2023 NCAA Tournament Final Four predictions, March Madness picks
The model is backing Under 149.5 total points in Miami vs. UConn. The 2023 Final Four games take place at NRG Stadium, which is home to the Houston Texans. That’s important to note because basketball teams shoot lower percentages in football stadiums due to altered sight-lines and backdrops compared to basketball arenas. The over-unders bear that out, as of the 13 previous college basketball games at NRG Stadium, the Under is 8-5.
The model has both teams scoring below their season averages and continuing trends related to their respective totals. Miami saw 52% of its games this year hit the Under, while UConn has seen six of eight games go under since March 1. No player in the matchup is projected to reach even 16 points, as Miami vs. UConn is forecasted for 149 points, according to the model. Get the rest of the parlay here.
How to make 2023 March Madness Final Four picks, parlays
The model also locked in spread and total picks for both games, and it has an underdog winning outright and covering nearly 60% of the time. Head to SportsLine to see its NCAA Tournament 2023 picks.
Which college basketball picks should you target in a 12-1 parlay for Saturday’s Final Four games? And which team covers in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see the top 2023 NCAA Tournament parlay for the Final Four, all from the model that has generated a profit of over $1,700 on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread.
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