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Mid-American Conference rivals face off in college basketball action as the Bowling Green Falcons (7-11, 2-4) host the Toledo Rockets (10-8, 4-2) on Friday on the CBS Sports Network. The game marks the 183rd matchup between these two schools, with Toledo leading the overall series 98-84. The visiting Rockets are looking to get back into the win column after a 83-64 loss to Kent State, while the Falcons have dropped three of their last four games.
Tipoff from Stroh Center in Bowling Green, Ohio is set for 6 p.m. ET. The Rockets are 3-point favorites in the latest Bowling Green vs. Toledo odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 159. Before entering any Toledo vs. Bowling Green picks, you’ll want to see the college basketball predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 12 of the 2024-25 season on a 199-138 betting roll (+2692) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Bowling Green vs. Toledo. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for Toledo vs. Bowling Green:
- Bowling Green vs. Toledo spread: Toledo -3
- Bowling Green vs. Toledo over/under: 159 points
- Bowling Green vs. Toledo money line: Toledo -147, Bowling Green +123
- Bowling Green vs. Toledo picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Bowling Green vs. Toledo streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Toledo can cover
The Rockets have a psychological advantage since they have won five of their last six meetings with the Falcons and have been the victors in six of the last nine meetups at Stroh Center. They are also 8-1 when scoring 82-plus points in a game this season, and they eclipsed that number in each of their last five victories against the Falcons.
Toledo is 9-8-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and has covered the spread in two of its last three games. The Rockets have also covered the spread in each of their last five road games, including a 7.5-point spread in an 85-78 loss to the red-hot Akron Zips on Jan. 14. See which team to pick here.
Why Bowling Green can cover
Although the Rockets have the upper hand in the series, the Falcons won the last meeting at Stroh Center 76-68 behind guard Marcus Hill, who put up 31 points in that game. Hill has since transferred to North Carolina State, so Bowling Green will lean on senior forward Marcus Johnson since he leads both the team and the entire conference with 16.1 points per game. He and guard Trey Thomas (11.8) have combined for the second-most points per game in conference play among duos, and they are expected to challenge a Toledo defense that is allowing 76.1 points per game.
The Falcons are 7-7-2 ATS this season and have covered the spread twice over their last three games. They have also covered the spread in two of their last three home games, which suggests they could keep Friday’s game close. See which team to pick here.
How to make Toledo vs. Bowling Green picks
The model has simulated Bowling Green vs. Toledo 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Toledo vs. Bowling Green, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bowling Green vs. Toledo spread you need to jump on, all from the model on an 198-138 roll on top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.
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